Read the math, not the narrative — today's highest-edge prediction-market opportunities, explained.
 KalEdge
Today's Intelligence Brief
Read the math.
Not the narrative.
Scout ran the numbers on thousands of markets overnight. Here are the edges worth your attention.
 
  Market Snapshot
ROI · 90d
+8.4%
paper · 1u flat
Hit rate
54.8%
vs implied
Edges flagged
294
advice-only
Calibration
0.223
Brier, lower better
Today's Best Bets
₿  BTC ≥ $70,000 this week +6% edge
Spot momentum and low realized vol sit well above where the market is pricing this.
Model  41% Market  35%
⛅  NYC high ≥ 88°F Saturday +9% edge
NOAA and Open-Meteo consensus runs hotter than the market implies.
Model  64% Market  55%
🏦  Fed holds rates in March No edge
Market prices the hold too richly — no edge here, so we sit it out.
Model  58% Market  63%
View Full Daily Digest →
Only the top 3 edges are shown — the full digest has the rest.
🔮  Scout's Live Performance View journey →
Equity Curve
+8.4% all time (paper)
Calibration Brier 0.223
Perfect · Scout
Recent Calls
9:02 AMBTC ≥ $70,000+6%
8:30 AMNYC high ≥ 88°F+9%
4:15 PMFed holds ratesNO
 KalEdge
Read the math. Not the narrative.
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KalEdge is a prediction-market intelligence service — not a sportsbook, and it never places a trade. Advice-only. 18+/21+ where required. Past performance does not guarantee future results.