Read the math, not the narrative — today's highest-edge prediction-market opportunities, explained.
✦ KalEdge
Today's Intelligence Brief
Read the math.
Not the narrative.
Scout ran the numbers on thousands of markets overnight. Here are the edges worth your attention.
 
●  Market Snapshot
ROI · 90d
+8.4%
paper · 1u flat
Hit rate
54.8%
vs implied
Edges flagged
294
advice-only
Calibration
0.223
Brier, lower better
Today's Best Bets
₿  BTC ≥ $70,000 this week +6% edge
Spot momentum and low realized vol sit well above where the market is pricing this.
Model  41% Market  35%
⛅  NYC high ≥ 88°F Saturday +9% edge
NOAA and Open-Meteo consensus runs hotter than the market implies.
Model  64% Market  55%
🏦  Fed holds rates in March No edge
Market prices the hold too richly — no edge here, so we sit it out.
Model  58% Market  63%
View Full Daily Digest →
Only the top 3 edges are shown — the full digest has the rest.
🔮  Scout's Live Performance View journey →
Equity Curve
+8.4% all time (paper)
Calibration Brier 0.223
Perfect · Scout
Recent Calls
9:02 AMBTC ≥ $70,000+6%
8:30 AMNYC high ≥ 88°F+9%
4:15 PMFed holds ratesNO
✦ KalEdge
Read the math. Not the narrative.
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KalEdge is a prediction-market intelligence service — not a sportsbook, and it never places a trade. Advice-only. 18+/21+ where required. Past performance does not guarantee future results.