KalEdge
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Prediction Market Intelligence System

KalEdge

KalEdge is an AI-powered scanner that detects pricing anomalies in Kalshi prediction markets. No opinion. No narrative. Just math — constraint arbitrage, Wang Transform behavioral pricing, and AI-generated market intelligence from scanner signals.

720+

Markets Scanned

4

Signal Types

24/7

Continuous Scan

Intelligence Output

Scanner Methodology

How KalEdge Finds Edge

The scanner doesn't predict outcomes. It detects when market prices violate mathematical constraints — pricing inconsistencies that shouldn't exist in an efficient market.

BINARY·ARB

Binary Arbitrage

Fires when YES_ask + NO_ask < 0.93 on the same binary market. After Kalshi's 7% fee, buying both sides guarantees a risk-free profit regardless of which way the market resolves.

YES @ 0.44 + NO @ 0.44 = 0.88 → guaranteed +$0.12 on $1 contract

EXCLUSIVITY·ARB

Exclusivity Constraint Arb

Detects when mutually exclusive YES contracts sum to more than 100%. The market is mispriced — one or more contracts must be overvalued relative to the others.

P(A) + P(B) + P(C) > 1.0 when exactly one must occur

IMPLICATION·ARB

Implication Constraint Arb

Fires when logically implied relationships between markets are violated. If A implies B, then P(A) cannot exceed P(B) in an efficient market.

P(SPX>5000) > P(SPX>4000) — impossible

WANG·TRANSFORM

Wang Transform Mispricing

Applies behavioral finance theory (λ=0.187) to quantify how much market participants are paying for probability distortion. High Wang scores signal sentiment-driven overpricing.

P_market >> P_wang(λ=0.187) — excessive risk premium

Disclaimer

Financial adviceScanner-generated math
Outcome predictionPricing anomaly detection
Trade recommendationSignal identification
Performance guaranteeSystematic edge research

KalEdge scanner · Prediction market intelligence only · Not financial advice